美国中东政策评析

美国在中东遇到大麻烦,主要战略目标未能实现。伊拉克安全形势持续严峻,巴以和谈停滞不前,伊朗核问题难以解决,压叙利亚屈服迄未奏效,恐怖活动越反越多,大中东改造计划受挫。美遇到的困难未超出其承受能力,美国在中东仍居主导地位,美中东政策在手法和策略上有所调整,实质上并无变化。     

五所医院特需医疗服务状况调查

通过对上海医科大学附属华山医院、协和医院、北京同仁医院、中山医科大学附属第一医院、浙江医科大学附属第二医院开展的特需医疗服务情况的调查，论述了五所医院的具体做法，在对调查结果进行分析的基础上，就特需医疗服务的管理提出了建议。     

Economic appraisal of laser applications in health care. Report of a project

This article reports on the results of a project evaluating effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of laser applications in health care. The literature was collected, emphasizing well-designed clinical trials and cost-effectiveness analyses. Few randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have been done outside the specialty of ophthalmology. Even fewer cost-effectiveness studies have been done, despite the frequent claims of cost-effectiveness in the medical literature. Review papers were commissioned, and a group of laser experts, economists, and policy-analysts met for 2 days to discuss the policy implications of lasers. The main conclusion from the conference is that inappropriate and unskilled use of lasers is presently the greatest problem with their application in health care.     

Delivering syringe exchange services through “satellite exchangers”: the Sacramento Area Needle Exchange, USA

An important operational aspect of Syringe Exchange Programmes (SEPs) is the venue of service delivery. This report describes the programmatic features of the Sacramento Area Needle Exchange (SANE), an illegal SEP operating in California, USA. SANE utilises “satellite exchangers” to distribute the bulk of its syringes and HIV risk reduction supplies. Advantages of relying primarily on Designated Exchangers (DE) for delivery of SEP services are that it: (1) allows for coverage of a large geographical area; (2) keeps operational cost low; (3) provides syringes to clients who may not want to or cannot use fixed site programmes; (4) limits the possibility of detection of programme personnel and clients by law enforcement. Limitations are that: (1) it is not as conducive as fixed sites to providing a wide range of ancillary services; (2) it may not be optimal for drug users who do not want to be reliant on other people for access to syringes; (3) those who receive services from a satellite exchanger may not derive as much counselling and referral services as direct exchangers. The lack of legal status, political support and adequate funding threatens the programme’s existence.     

Variations in the evaluation of colorectal cancer risk

OBJECTIVES: To test the variability in estimating cancer risk and demonstrate the consequences that subjectivity has on patient care. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Forty-three clinicians were each asked to assess 40 symptomatic colorectal referrals. Each clinician was provided with a comprehensive history on the 40 patients. The clinicians graded the referral according to a malignancy risk score, decided on the required first line investigation and the priority of that investigation. The main outcome measures used was accuracy in cancer detection and appropriateness of investigations selected. RESULTS: There was a wide degree of variation among all clinicians grading both benign and malignant disease with the overall correct classification of 54% (P-value of <0.001). On average, the clinicians correctly diagnosed 71.3% of the cancer patients as compared to 44% of the benign patients. Of the cancer patients, 47% were correctly classified as an urgent referral whilst 52% of the benign patients were over classified and graded as an urgent referral. The mean number chosen by clinicians to have a flexible sigmoidoscopy as the appropriate first investigation was 13 (of 40 patients); this was despite the diagnosis being possible in all cases with a flexible sigmoidoscopy. The choice to use full colonic investigation was seen throughout all disciplines. Junior doctors demonstrated the highest tendency choosing full colonic investigation in 92.3%. Consultants and senior grades showed the least tendency to choose full colonic imaging although even here colonoscopy or barium enema represented 48.5%. CONCLUSION: Subjective assessment of cancer referrals is a significant problem that needs to be confronted. Improvements are needed to resolve the inherent problems of subjectivity and operator bias if uniform quality of patient care and best use of resources is to be achieved.     

我国中央层面家庭医生签约服务政策量化评价：基于PMC指数模型

背景 我国人口老龄化形势日益严重,家庭医生签约服务对助推分级诊疗制度建设、建立合理有序就医秩序发挥着重要作用,目前学者对家庭医生签约服务政策的研究主要集中于定性评价,较少有学者利用工具聚焦代表性政策对各篇进行定量评价。目的 定量评价我国中央层面的6篇家庭医生签约服务相关政策,分析政策优劣,在此基础上,提出促进我国家庭医生签约服务高质量发展的对策和措施,助力健康中国战略实施。方法 于2022-04-30,以“家庭医生”为关键词在北大法宝数据库进行全文检索,并在国务院网站进行相关内容检索,检索时限为2015-01-01至今。采用ROSTCM 6.0软件进行文本挖掘,然后以其结果为依据选择其中具有代表性的中央层面家庭医生签约服务相关政策,并基于政策一致性评价（PMC）指数模型对其进行量化评价。结果 依据纳入与排除标准检索获得相关政策32篇,家庭医生签约服务领域排名前5位的高频关键词为“签约服务”（274次）、“健康”（272次）、“医疗”（264次）、“家庭医生”（225次）、“签约”（180次）,以其为依据共选择中央层面有代表性的家庭医生签约服务相关政策6篇,分别标记为P1～P6。政策量化...     

Model building on the basis of Dutch cervical cancer screening data

A mass screening programme for cervical cancer is in progress in three pilot regions in The Netherlands. All women living in these regions aged 35-53 are invited to undergo screening at three-year intervals. The MISCAN simulation model was developed for the analysis and optimization of screening programmes. In this paper the model-based approach to evaluation is first outlined and then illustrated by analysing data from the first two screening rounds in the pilot regions. This analysis resulted in a rather restricted range of data-compatible assumptions for the mean duration of preclinical disease (14-19 yr) and the frequency of spontaneous regression of preinvasive lesions (45-65%), as well as a rather wide sensitivity range for the Pap smear (50-90%). These preliminary findings are compared with those of a previous MISCAN analysis of cervical cancer screening in British Columbia. On the basis of an assumed 18-yr duration, 50% regression and 70% sensitivity, a number of screening policies relating to the same age ranges but with different intervals are compared. Both the analysis and the policy comparisons are preliminary, but the findings are nevertheless reasonable and consistent with those of previous studies. A more complete MISCAN-based analysis of the Dutch screening programme and subsequent optimization of screening policies will be possible when further results become available and a cost-effectiveness analysis procedure has been incorporated into the MISCAN programme.     

政策反馈理论视域：中国医疗卫生政策钟摆式变迁及其逻辑

新中国成立以来,党和国家不断强化医疗卫生建设,70余年来医疗卫生政策演进呈钟摆式变迁的特征,即从公益导向的福利性医疗卫生政策摆向效率导向的市场化政策,再摆向公益为主兼顾效率的民生导向政策,在公益与效率间发生三次摆动。本文借助政策反馈理论分析医疗卫生政策钟摆式变迁的内在逻辑,发现政策变迁过程中原有政策通过资源效应、解释效应、演化效应和学习效应影响新政策的制定,使得新政策留有原政策的烙印,呈现出摆动式变迁而非剧烈或范式变迁。政策反馈理论为医疗卫生政策制定提供新视角,制定医疗卫生政策需注重原政策的历史影响力,以公共价值引领医疗医保医药政策,从多重政策反馈效应视角出发优化卫生政策的制定。